An Outlook on Land Reform 2012: Progress and impact on Food

An Outlook on Land Reform 2012: Progress and impact on Food Security in Southern Africa 11TH AGRICULTURAL OUTLOOK CONFERENCE 13 & 14 SEPTEMBER 2011 Dawie Maree Agri SA

Food security • Definition • Types of food security – National – Household

• Vision of government

Food Security • G20 Plan of Action – Improve agricultural production and productivity

RSA: MAIZE (COMMERCIAL) AREA PLANTED AND PRODUCTION ‘000 Ton

‘000 Ha

14000 Maize (Ha)

5000

Maize(Ton)

12000

4500

10000

4000

8000

3500

6000

3000

4000

2500

2000

2000

0

1500 2010/11

2009/10

2008/09

2007/08

2006/07

2005/06

2004/05

2003/04

2002/03

2001/02

2000/01

1999/00

1998/99

1997/98

1996/97

1995/96

1994/95

1993/94

1992/93

1991/92

1990/91

Source: DAFF

85

75 Index

Volume index of agricultural production 135

125

115

105

95

65

Field Crops

55

Horticulture

45

Animal Production

35

2009/10 2007/08 2005/06

2003/04 2001/02 1999/00

1997/98 1995/96 1993/94

1991/92 1989/90 1987/88

1985/86 1983/84 1981/82

1979/80 1977/78 1975/76 Source: DAFF

Food Security • G20 Plan of Action – Improve agricultural production and productivity – Increase market information and transparency – Strengthen international policy coherence and coordination – Improve and develop risk management tools – Improve functioning of agricultural commodities’ derivative markets

South African Agriculture Property rights Food security Poor infrastructure Corruption Crime

Input costs Labour dispensation

Trade policy Service delivery

Land Reform in South Africa • Contentious and emotive • Land reform since 1994 – 3-pronged approach – Target for 2014

– Progress and success??? – Reasons for failure

International experience • Mexico – Ownership – Production – Dependancy

• Tanzania – Ownership – Productivity

• Brazil – Expropriation – Government support – Market-related strategies

Green Paper on Land Reform, 2011 • Vision – 4-tier system of land tenure – Clearly defined property rights – Secure forms of long-term land tenure for resident noncitizens – Effective land use planning and regulatory systems

• Improved trajectory – Improve past and current perspectives without substantially disrupting production and food security – Avoid/minimise redistribution and restitution which do not generate sustainable livelihoods, employment and incomes

Green Paper on Land Reform, 2011 • Improved trajectory support by: – Recapitalisation and development programme – Single 4-tier tenure system • State and public land – Leasehold • Privately owned land – Freehold, with limited extent • Land owned by foreigners – Freehold, with obligations and conditions • Communally owned land – Communal tenure, with institutionalised use rights • An Australian example

Green Paper on Land Reform, 2011 • Improved trajectory support by (continue): – Land Management Commission – Land Valuer-General – Land Rights Management Board, with local management committees – Properly aligned common property institutions – Tenure Security Bill, 2010

Green Paper on Land Reform, 2011 • Key challenges and constraints: – Entrenched vested interests – Poor coordination and integration – Poor capacity of organs of state to implement

Expenditure Estimates: Land Affairs: Restitution and Land Reform 5000000

4500000 4000000

Restitution

3500000 Land Reform

R'000

3000000 2500000 2000000 1500000 1000000 500000

Source: Estimates of National Expenditure, 2011 National Treasury * Medium-term expenditure estimate

2013/14*

2012/13*

2011/12*

2010/11

2009/10

2008/09

2007/08

2006/07

2005/06

2004/05

2003/04

2002/03

2001/02

2000/01

1999/00

1998/99

0

Is there still a future for the South African Farmer?

Conclusion/Road forward • National Land Audit • More definite process for land reform and rural development • Critical debate • Expansion into Africa • Local focus on food security

South African Farmers leaving

Thank you