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Trends of phosphorus use efficiency in the food chain of China
Lin Ma1, Zhaohai Bai2, Wenqi Ma3, Gerard Velthof4, Oene Oenema4, Fusuo Zhang2 1 The Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2 China Agricultural University, 3 Agricultural University of Hebei, 4 Alterra, Wageningen University and Research Centre. E-mail:
[email protected]
5th Phosphorus in Soils and Plants Symposium, 29th September, Montpellier, France
Outline 1. Why study phosphorus (P) use efficiency in the food chain of China? 2. Definitions of phosphorus use efficiency (PUE)
3. Changes of PUE in the food chain of China 4. Options of sustainable P use in the food chain
Why study PUE in the food chain of China? Question: Is it a sustainable food system? Changes relative to 1961, % 900 800
Cereals yield per agriculture land Livestock density
700
Changes relative to 1961, % 8000
Cereals yield per agriculture land 7000
Fertilizer consumption
6000
600
5000
500
3000
200
2000
100
1000
0
0
1961 1964 1967 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009
300
Year
1961 1964 1967 1970 1973 1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003 2006 2009
4000
400
Year
FAO database
NUFER model (NUtrient flows in Food chains, Environment and Resources use) Atmosphere N2, NH3, N2O
Human consumption Exports and losses
Food processing
imports
Animal production
Crop production (soil accumulation)
Erosion and runoff
• Regional and national scale of China • 1950-2010, and 2030 • 18 main crops • 11 animal categories • Households in rural and urban
N Leaching
Groundwater
P
Surface waters
(Ma et al., JEQ 2010)
Indicators of nutrient use efficiency • P cost of food (kg/kg) • PUEf - Phosphorus use efficiency in the food chain, % • PUEc - Phosphorus use efficiency in crop production, % • PUEa - Phosphorus use efficiency in animal production, %
(Ma et al., JEQ 2010)
P flows in food chain in China P
P
1980
2005 Households
0 exports 0.2 (20%) losses
0.4 0
1.6 (100%)
Imports
0.3 (19%)
0 0 exports
0.5 1.3 (81%)
0.2
0.6 (37%) 0.1 (10%) losses exports
Exports /losses
Animal production 0.5
0 0.2
Crop production (soil) Accumulation in soil 0
0
0.1exports
0.9 0.5
0.3 (10%) losses
0.6
Food processing 0.2
0.1 exports
Households
0.6 (60%) losses 0.5 exports
1.0 (63%) losses
0.1 (10%) losses
0.5exports
Food processing
1.4 (18%) exports
0.2 (9%) losses 1.5
1.1 7.8 (100%)
1.3
2.6 (33%)
Exports /losses
0 0 exports
Animal production
Imports
1.0 5.2 (67%)
0.3
1.7
0 0.2
Crop production (soil)
2.1 (70%) losses 0.8 exports
3.0 (38%) losses
0.4 (11%) losses
Accumulation in soil 3.4 (44%)
• Total P input was 5 times larger in 2005 than in 1980; • P cost of food production was 4 kg/kg in1980 and 13 kg/kg in 2005. (Ma et al., 2012)
PUE in the food chain of Chian 100 PUEc
PUEa
PUEf
80
USA and NL
60
PUEc = ~ 60%
40
PUEa = ~ 35% 20 0 1950
PUEf = ~ 20%
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2010
Note: PUE= (O Main product / I Total)*100,Phosphorus use efficiency. PUEc, PUEa and PUEf are the PUE in crop production, animal production and food chain. (Ma et al., Unpublished data, Smit et al., 2010 and Suh et al., 2011 )
P flux increased dramatically in the food chain of China P flow (10000 ton)
1600 1400 1200
Household Food processing Animal production Cropland production
1000
800 600 400
200 0 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 Year (Ma et al., Unpublished data)
1950 1952 1954 1956 1958 1960 1962 1964 1966 1968 1970 1972 1974 1976 1978 1980 1982 1984 1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010
P cycling rate decreased in the food chain of China Recycled P New P
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0%
(Ma et al., Unpublished data)
P losses in food chain in China 1980
1950 15%
Crop production Animal production
0%
2010 12%
19% 30%
38%
9% 7%
Food processing Household
47% 66%
44%
P losses (104 ton)
Percentage of P losses from sub-systems
350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 1950
13%
Household Food processing Animal production Crop production
1960
1970
(Ma et al., Unpublished data)
1980 Year
1990
2000
2010
Options of sustainable P use in the food chain 1. Improving PUE in crop production
2. Improving PUE in animal production 3. Recycling wastes from the whole chain
P cost in the food chain (kg/kg)
4. Lowering human consumption of animal products
Ma et al., EST 2013
1980
2005
2030
Year
Double High Technology: from technology to farmers’ practices ----Increase yield and PUE by 30-50%
Field school
Training
(Chen et al., PNAS, 2011)
Improving PUE in animal production Phosphorus use efficiency %
Phosphorus use efficiency in dairy production in China 40
30
20
10
0 Traditional
Grassland-based Animal
Collective
Industrial
Herd
Average
System
Animal: Milking dairy; Herd, including milking dairy, calves and heifers; System, crop-dairy production chain
PUE at herd level is 25-35% in EU and USA.
Bai et al., JEQ 2013
Recycling wastes from the whole chain P footprint of China’s pig production in 2010 By-product + Import 987
New
Applied
792
911
Crop
Feed
227
1511
Pig gain
Carcass
Pork
79
394
Consumed 38
43
283
119
14
53
631
329
558
Field loss
P not taken
Manure loss
Manure export
32
22
Slaughter Processing waste waste
5 Food waste
Bai et al., EST 2014
25
20
1961 1963 1965 1967 1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007
Food protein supply quantity (kg/capita/year)
Lowering human consumption of animal products 30 animal food
plant food
The Chinese food dietary guidelines
15
10
5
0
Year (Ma et al., JEQ 2013)
Regional variations in P management P losses from crop production and animal production
(Ma L. et al., STOTEN 2012)
Summary • Food P cost increased dramatically in the past several decades in China, following with low PUE and high P losses. • Optimizing diets and implementation of integrated nutrient management would decrease P losses, and would greatly increase PUE in the whole food chain. Atmosphere N2, NH3, N2O
• A food chain approach is really needed to improve sustainable P management in the food systems.
Human consumption Exports and losses
Food processing
imports
Animal production
Crop production (soil accumulation)
Erosion and runoff
N Leaching
Groundwater
P
Surface waters
Some main publications • Ma L., Wang F. H., Zhang W. F., Ma, W. Q., Velthof G.L., Qin W., Oenema O., Zhang F.S., Environmental assessment of nutrient management options for the food chain of China. Environmental Science & Technology, 2013, 47 (13), 7260-7268. • Ma L., Zhang W. F., Ma W.Q., Velthof G.L., Oenema O., Zhang F.S., An analysis of developments and challenges in nutrient management in China. Journal of Environmental Quality, 2013, 42 (4): 951-961. • Bai Z.H., Ma L., Oenema O., Chen Q., Zhang F.S., Nitrogen and phosphorus use efficiencies in dairy production in China. Journal of Environmental Quality, 2013, 42 (4): 990-1001. • Hou Y., Ma L., Gao Z. L., Wang F. H., Sims J. T., Ma W. Q., Zhang F. S., Nitrogen and phosphorus flows and losses in the food chain in China, 1980-2010. Journal of Environmental Quality 2013, 42 (4): 962-971. • Ma, L. G. L. Velthof, F. H. Wang, Z. Liu, Y. Zhang, J. Wei, J. P. Lesschen, W. Q. Ma, O. Oenema, F. S. Zhang et al.(2012) Nitrogen and phosphorus use efficiencies and losses in the food chain in China at regional scales in 1980 and 2005. Science of the Total Environment 2012, 434: 51-61. • W.Q Ma, Ma L., Li J. H. et al., Phosphorus flows and use efficiencies in production and consumption of wheat, rice, and maize in China, Chemosphere, 2011, 84(6): 814-821. • F. Wang, J.T. Sims, Ma L., W. Ma, Z. Dou, and F. Zhang, The Phosphorus Footprint of China’s Food Chain: Implications for Food Security, Natural Resource Management, and Environmental Quality, JEQ, 2011, 40(4): 1081-1089. • Ma L., W.Q. Ma, G.L. Velthof et al,. Modeling Nutrient Flows in the Food Chain of China, Journal of Environmental Quality, 2010, 39(4): 1279-1289. • Bai Z.H., Ma L., Qin W., Oenema O., Chen Q., Zhang F.S., Changes in Pig Production in China and Their Effects on Nitrogen and Phosphorus Use and Losses. Environmental Science & Technology, 2014 (Minor revision)
Thanks for your attention! Our food pyramid in the future
5th Phosphorus in Soils and Plants Symposium, 29th September, Montpellier, France