How can the Children in Need census help to improve children
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SSRG Annual Workshop 2011: How can the Children in Need census help to improve children’s services and outcomes?
Monday 7th March Birmingham Isabella Craig
Our data collections Children In Need (375,900) Privately Fostered (1,590) Child Protection Plan (39,100)
Children Looked After (64,400)
Secure Accommodation (260)
Why do we collect CIN data?
To give LAs and the department a better understanding of the characteristics of their children in need populations and the types and volumes of services that they provide for these children. To help ensure consistency in data across LAs. To enable comparability and benchmarking which will support public accountability as well as professional learning. To aid LAs in evaluating the cost-effectiveness of their local services, improve working practices and improve the outcomes of some their most vulnerable and disadvantaged children. Child level data maximising the usefulness of this data for researchers and for developing and evaluating policy Ministers attach a high priority to ensuring that England remains in line with other leading European countries in terms of the data collected
Content of the CIN census There are five data modules in the CIN census which include the following data items (from 2010-11 onwards): 1
Child identifiers:
2
LA Child ID Unique Pupil Number (UPN), Pupil’s Former UPN, UPN Unknown Reason Date of Birth, Expected Date of Birth Gender Date of Death
Characteristics: -
Ethnicity Asylum-Seeking Child, Date child ceased to be an Asylum-Seeking Child Looked After Child Adopted Disability type
Content of the CIN census 3
Children in Need details: -
Referral Date Primary Need Code CIN Closure Date, Reason for Closure
-
Initial Assessment Effective Start Date, Initial Assessment Target End Date, Initial Assessment Effective End Date Core Assessment Effective Start Date, Core Assessment Target End Date, Core Assessment Effective End Date Section 47 Enquiry Effective Start Date, Target Date for Initial Child Protection Conference, Date of Initial Child Protection Conference Date of Initial Child Protection Conference (transfer in cases) Initial Child Protection Conference Not Required
-
Referral No Further Action Open Case Information (Looked After Child, Residence Order, Special Guardianship Order, Transition Plan, Cared for by a relative, Privately fostered, Young carer, Short break settings, Direct payments)
Content of the CIN census 4
Service provision: -
5
Service Type Service Provider Start Date End Date
Child Protection Plans: -
Child Protection Plan Start Date Initial Category of Abuse, Latest Category of Abuse Number of Previous Child Protection Plans Child Protection Plan End Date Plan Review Date
Key findings from the CIN census
There were 375,900 children in need at 31 March 2010, a rate of 341 per 10,000 children. At LA level, this rate varied from 135 in Herefordshire to 896 in Haringey. There were 694,000 episodes of need throughout the year: 377,600 episodes of need started between 1 April 2009 and 31 March 2010 and 318,200 episodes of need ended. Comparing rates of CIN and CLA at 31 March 2010 by LA: All LAs 1,000 900
CIN rate per 10,000 children
800 R2 = 0.3064
700
LA
600 500
England
400
Linear (LA)
300 200 100 0 0
20
40
60
80
100
CLA rate per 10,000 children
120
140
160
Key findings from the CIN census Children in need at 31 March by age and gender 250,000
Numbers of Children in Need
200,000
150,000 Unborn/unknown gender 16 and over 10-15 years
100,000
5-9 years 1-4 years Under 1
50,000
0 Male
Female
Unborn
Key findings from the CIN census Breakdown of disability types identified in Children in Need at 31 March 2010 7%
11%
4% Autism/Aspergers Behaviour 9%
Communication
11%
Consciousness Hand Function Hearing Incontinence 11%
Learning 11%
Mobility Personal Care Vision
3% 3% 3%
22% 5%
Other Disability
Key findings from the CIN census Breakdown of open case statuses identified in Children in Need at 31 March 2010 13%
9% 4%
Residence order Special Guardianship order Transition plan
11%
11% Cared for by relative Privately fostered child Young carer 7%
Short breaks (overnight) Short breaks (day)
3% 21% 4%
Child receiving direct payments Carer receiving direct payments
17%
Key findings from the CIN census Age of CIN by Primary Need
Age by Primary Need: Children in Need (CIN) at 31 March 2010 100%
Cases other than Children In Need
Primary need breakdown
80%
Absent parenting Low income Socially unacceptable behaviour
60% Family dysfunction Family in acute stress Parent's disability or illness
40%
Child's disability or illness Abuse or neglect
20% Not stated Missing/Unknown
0% Under 1
1-4 Years
5-9 Years
Age breakdown
10-15 Years
16 & over
Key findings from the CIN census Date referrals were received in 2009-10 Referral numbers peak on a Monday and fall on a Saturday and Sunday
3000
2000 1500 1000 500
There seem to be 'dips' in referral numbers over school holidays
1/3/2010
1/2/2010
1/1/2010
1/12/2009
1/11/2009
1/10/2009
1/9/2009
1/8/2009
1/7/2009
1/6/2009
1/5/2009
0 1/4/2009
Number of referrals
2500
Key findings from the CIN census
45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000
Working days
19 20
18
14 15 16 17
10 11 12 13
6 7 8 9
4 5
1 2 3
0
eg a
tiv
e
0
N
Number of Initial assessments
Number of working days between the Initial Assessments start date and end date
Many initial assessments were completed on the same day as the assessment began (13%) and a further 12% of cases were completed 7 working days after the assessment began.
Key findings from the CIN census Most core assessments were completed in 35 working days, with nearly twice as many assessments taking 35 days compared to any other duration. Number of working days between the core assessments start date and end date
Number of core assessments
14000 12000 10000 8000 6000 4000 2000 0 72 71 70 69 68 67 66 65 64 63 62 61 60 59 58 57 56 55 54 53 52 51 50 49 48 47 46 45 44 43 42 41 40 39 38 37 36 35 34 33 32 31 30 29 28 27 26 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Negative
Working days
Key findings from the CIN census
The age breakdown of children at referral is very similar to the age of children at the start of the initial assessment, core assessment and section 47 enquiry.
The breakdown at the start of the CPP is however quite different, with a higher proportion of younger children and a much smaller proportion of children aged over 16.
Age break down change through CIN system 100%
Percentage of all children in this age group
7%
6%
5%
4%
31%
31%
90% 80%
1%
23% 31%
31%
70% 26%
60%
16& over 10-15 years
50%
26%
26%
26%
27%
5-9 years 1-4 years
40% 29% 30% 20%
25%
26%
25%
25%
10%
11%
13%
14%
10%
21%
0% Referral
Initial Core assessment Assessment start start
Section 47
CPP start
Under 1
Key findings from the CIN census 120000 Total 100000 80000 60000
Referrals Initial Assessments Core Assessments Section 47
40000 20000
Initial Child Protection Conferences Child Protection Plans
Ap r- 0 M 9 ay -0 9 Ju n09 Ju l-0 Au 9 g0 Se 9 p0 O 9 ct -0 No 9 v0 De 9 c0 Ja 9 n1 Fe 0 b1 M 0 ar -1 0
0
Key findings from the CIN census Breakdown of duration of need for Children in Need ceasing during 2009-10 or open case at 31 March 2010 400,000
Numbers of Children in Need
350,000 300,000 Unknown
250,000
More than 3 years 2 years up to 3 years
200,000
1 year up to 2 years 26 weeks up to 1 year 12 weeks up to 26 weeks
150,000
4 weeks up to 12 weeks 0 weeks up to 4 wks
100,000 50,000 0 Ceased during 2009-10
Open Case at 31 March 2010
Key findings from the CIN census Ethnic breakdown of services provided to non-White Children in Need in 2009-10
% of non-White ethncities receiving service
35 Missing/unknown
30
Other Mixed Black
25
Asian
20
15
10
5
0 National ethnicity breakdown
All services
Adoption support
Aids and adaptations
Disabled children's services
Service type
Residence order payments
Family support
Section 24 support
Data Confidence Indicator (DCI)
Data Confidence Indicators (DCIs) were included for each breakdown published in provisional and final CIN Statistical Releases DCIs mostly based on data quality checks conducted within DfE, but some DCIs also take into consideration comparisons with previous years’ data and notes made by LAs Aim that DCIs will enable LAs to make more robust comparisons with statistical neighbours and national averages Allow those LAs who have invested time and effort in data quality to demonstrate the quality of their information and seek out similar high quality data for benchmarking Table below gives an indication of our confidence in data for different areas of the CIN return (with ‘3’ denoting the highest confidence and ‘1’ the lowest)
DCI breakdown Children in Need at 31 March 2010 Ethnicity Disability Open Case Status Initial Assessments completed within 7 days Child Protection Plans starting during 2009-10
Table number 1 4 5 7 10 14
3 111 142 103 54 78 126
DCI rating / number of LAs 2 1 Aggregate 12 22 1 1 17 24 38 50 24 36 14 4 6 14
No data 7 8 8 10 2
CIN census review
The ultimate aim of the CIN review was to compare costs and burdens of completing the CIN census against the value of the resulting data, allowing for improvements that can feasibly be made, with a view to informing a decision on the future life of the collection CIN census review Steering Group established including data users and providers; LA reps, IT specialists, Ofsted, charities, external researchers, DfE analysis, DfE policy Steering Group discussions have included establishing the evidence base, estimating the average LA costs (c£26k) and identifying areas of census which place greatest burden on LAs and DfE. Final recommendations for 2010-11 and future years have been agreed by Steering Group and are awaiting Ministerial approval. Terms of reference and Steering Group meeting minutes available at: http://www.education.gov.uk/researchandstatistics/childrenandyoungpeople/cincensus/a0 013657/children-in-need-cin-census
Further analysis: matching projects Matching to 2008-09 CIN census (January 2011): Looked at whether data in 2009-10 is comparable with 2008-09 (e.g. do children referred before 1 April 2009 appear in 2008-09 with the same date of birth). Found that the data are not yet consistent enough to allow robust longitudinal analysis. Matching to 2009-10 LAC (January 2011): Improved matching rate from 76% (of LAC at 31 March 2009) to 79% (of LAC at 31 March 2010). These matching rates were shared with LAs. Matching to 2009/10 NPD (by March 2011): Aiming to improve UPN prevalence from 82% and matching rate from 70% in 2008-09 (for 4-16 year olds). Aim to disseminate national and local matching rates, characteristics, attainment and absence levels of CIN.
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