Interpreting Feedback from Baseline Tests

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CEM CONFERENCE EXETER

Interpreting Feedback from Baseline testsWhole School and Individual Student Data Day 1 Session 2

Geoff Davies

27th February 2013

Using Baseline Data for Teaching and Learning • Informing professional judgement • Begging Questions • Supporting teachers • Starting conversations • Starting a diagnostic process in some cases

How able is this year group? What are the strengths and weaknesses of this cohort? How did individuals perform?

Bands, percentiles, standardised scores…

C B A

D 0

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

Standardised scores Percentiles:

1

5

10

20

30 40 50 60 70 25

80 75

90

95

99

150

National Quartile Ability Bands BANDS BASELINE

D

C

B

A

ALIS: AV GCSE

6.55

Yellis %

>43

43-52

52-61

>61

STANDARDISED CABT MidYIS, Yellis and Alis

110

IN ANY COHORT, 25% OF THE POPULATION WILL BE IN EACH BAND. THE VALUES MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM YEAR TO YEAR

Band Profile Graph: all MidYIS cohort

A school with a ‘completely average’ intake would have 25% of pupils within each band.

Band D

Checking this graph each year will give you an immediate overview of your intake.

Band A

Independent schools only 2011-12 Overall: Percent in each Band Year 7 MidYIS Test 2011/2012 Independent Schools' Standardisation Year 7 MidYIS Test 2011/2012 Independent Schools' Standardisation

100

90

80

70

Percent

60

50

45

40

36

30

20 14 10 5 0 D

C

B

A

7 Band Profile - MidYIS Overall Score Year 7 Academic Year 2012

35

32

Percentage

30 23

25

23

20 14

15 10 5

5

5

0

0 = 125

Well Above Far Above Average Average

A Grammar School present year 11 (5th year) YELLIS BANDS

Alis: year 12 students, two baseline profiles for the same school

Nationally, 25% in each band

Comments and potential implications?

Vocabulary: Percent in each Band Year 7 MidYIS Test 2011/2012

100

90

90

80

80

70

70

60

60 Percent

Percent

100

50

37

40

20

25

35 26

30

20

17

21

20

10

17

10

0

0 D

C

B

A

Band D

D

Band A

90

80

80

70

70

60

60 Percent

90

40

33

35

30

A

Band A

50

40

30

29

21 20

B

Skills: Percent in each Band Year 7 MidYIS Test 2011/2012

100

50

C

Band D

Non-Verbal: Percent in each Band Year 7 MidYIS Test 2011/2012

100

Percent

50

40

30

Maths: Percent in each Band Year 7 MidYIS Test 2011/2012

24

26

21

20

11 10

10

0

0 D

C

B

A

D

Comments?

C

B

A

Proof Reading: Percent in each Band Year 7 MidYIS Test 2011/2012

100

90

80

70

Percent

60

Skills: Percent in each Band Year 7 MidYIS Test 2011/2012

100

50

40

38 26

30

19

90

20

17

80

10 70

0 D

40

30

100

29

24

26

21

C

B

A

Perceptual Speed & Accuracy: Percent in each Band Year 7 MidYIS Test 2011/2012

50

90

20

80 10

70 0 D

C

B

A

60 Percent

Percent

60

50

40

30 30

24

23

23

D

C

B

20

10

0 A

What do the sections of the MIDYIS test measure? Vocabulary Score The Vocabulary component of the test is generally an important element for most subjects. For English, History and some Foreign Languages it is the best. However the Vocabulary score is perhaps the most culturally linked of all the scores. Those who have not been exposed to vocabulary-rich talk or a wide variety of reading material or whose first language is not English are unlikely to have developed as high a vocabulary score as they would have developed in a different environment.

Maths Score The Maths score is well correlated with most subjects but is particularly important when predicting Maths, Statistics, ICT, Design Technology and Economics. The Maths section has been designed with the emphasis on speed and fluency, rather than knowledge of Maths. Like the Vocabulary score, the Maths score is a good predictor of later academic performance.

Non-Verbal Score The Non-Verbal score is composed of the three sub tests: CrossSections, Block Counting and Pictures. The Non-verbal score is important when predicting Maths, Science, Design Technology Geography, Art and Drama. It provides a measure of the pupil’s ability in 3-D visualisation, spatial aptitude, pattern recognition and logical thinking. It can give an insight in to the developed ability for pupils for whom English is a second language

Skills Score

In the Proof Reading section pupils are asked to spot mistakes in the spelling, punctuation and grammar of a passage of text. eg mis-spelling of words like ‘there’ and ‘their’. The PSA (Perceptual speed and accuracy) section asks pupils to look for matches between a sequence of symbols on the left and a number of possible choices on the right. Given enough time most pupils would probably get the answers correct but we are measuring how quickly pupils can find a correct match. An interesting result from our work with the Deaf and Hearing Impaired community shows that on average, Hearing Impaired pupils score well above the national average on the PSA section of the test. The PSA section allows speed to be demonstrated free from the demands of memory. The Proof Reading and PSA tests are tests for the modern world, and are designed to measure fluency and speed. They rely on a pupil’s scanning and skimming skills, skills that are desirable in examination situations.

Individual Pupil Records: • Show pupils’ strengths and weakness of different sections of the baseline test • Bands A,B,C, & D (quartiles) • Scores are standardised to have a mean of 100 and a standard deviation of 15 • Tables and graphs which include error bars • Stanines and percentiles • Confidence limits

16

IPRs (Individual Pupil Record Sheets) Top of confidence limit

Bottom of confidence limit

An exercise for you on this later!!

Scores Standardised On A Nationally Representative Sample of Schools Standardised Scores

Sort Data By...

Mean Score: 100 Standard Deviation: 15

Average

100.6

95.9

105.3

99.2

98.1

St. error

1.1

1.1

1.1

1.1

1.1

Band

St. Score

MidYIS Score

Band

St. Score

Skills

Band

St. Score

Non Verbal

Band

Maths

St. Score

Band

St. Score

Vocabulary

On another day, with 95% certainty, the score of 100.6 (+/- 1.1 x 2) • would not be higher than 100.6 + 2.2 = 102.8 • would not be lower than 100.6 – 2.2 = 98.4

How might this information be useful?

Some pupil data MIDYIS

2009

Vocabulary

Maths

Non-Verbal

Skills

Overall

Score

Band

Score

Band

Score

Band

Score

Band

Score

Band

Pupil 01

122

A

125

A

116

A

107

B

126

A

Pupil 02

105

B

110

A

127

A

95

C

108

B

Pupil 03

105

B

93

C

110

B

89

D

99

C

Pupil 04

91

C

116

A

130

A

115

A

103

B

Pupil 05

111

A

144

A

122

A

103

B

129

A

Pupil 06

107

B

112

A

85

D

97

C

109

B

Pupil 07

115

A

106

B

100

C

86

D

112

A

Pupil 08

141

A

137

A

132

A

135

A

143

A

Pupil 09

104

B

92

C

105

B

109

B

98

C

Pupil 10

99

C

119

A

114

A

99

C

109

B

Pupil 11

108

B

126

A

130

A

140

A

118

A

Pupil 12

106

B

123

A

120

A

105

B

116

A

Pupil 13

103

B

96

C

103

B

104

B

99

C

Pupil 14

108

B

110

B

112

A

108

B

110

A

Pupil 15

95

C

104

B

103

B

122

A

99

C

Stanine 1

2

4%

50

60

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

7% 12% 17% 20% 17% 12% 7%

70

80

90 100 110 120 Standardised Test Score

4%

130

140

150

Individual Pupil Record Date Of Birth: Sex:

75 Student Number: Form:

24/12/97 F

Vocabulary Maths Non-Verbal Skills MidYIS Score

Band

Stanine

Percentile

Standard Score

B

5

53

101

B

5

52

101

C

5

46

98

C

5

46

99

B

5

52

101

Nationally Standardised Scores with 95% Confidence Band

Nationally Standardised Scores

150 140

130 120

110 100 90 80 70

60

Proof Reading PSA

106

B

96

C

50

Vocabulary

Maths

Non-Verbal

Skills

MidYIS Score

A relatively lower vocabulary score might indicate a difficulty which:

• could contribute to under-performance in most, if not all subjects • might lead to ‘stressful situations’ • may lead to further investigation and subsequent pupil support

Individual Pupil Record Date Of Birth: Sex:

RAWAD OKBI Student Number: Form:

29/08/99 M

Vocabulary Maths Non-Verbal Skills MidYIS Score

8E

Band

Stanine

Percentile

Standard Score

D

3

20

87

B

5

58

103

B

6

67

107

B

6

71

108

C

4

34

94

Nationally Standardised Scores with 95% Confidence Band

Nationally Standardised Scores

150 140

130 120

110 100 90 80 70

60

Proof Reading PSA

88

D

118

A

50

Vocabulary

Maths

Non-Verbal

Skills

MidYIS Score

A relatively low maths score might indicate potential weaknesses in subject areas which require: • numerical skills • logical thinking

• skills such as sequencing CONVERSELY: a high maths score but a low vocab/reading score…….

Individual Pupil Record Date Of Birth: Sex:

Vocabulary Maths Non-Verbal Skills MidYIS Score

RACHEL STRONACH Student Number: Form:

13/1/99 F

8E

Band

Stanine

Percentile

Standard Score

B

6

63

105

D

3

15

84

A

6

76

111

B

6

67

107

C

4

37

95

Nationally Standardised Scores with 95% Confidence Band

Nationally Standardised Scores

150 140

130 120

110 100 90 80 70

60 50

Vocabulary

Maths

Non-Verbal

Skills

MidYIS Score

A relatively high non-verbal score might indicate potential strengths in subject areas which require:

• 3d, and 3d into 2d, visualisation • Spatial awareness

• Understanding images in 2d representing 3d • Extracting information from visual images

• Science, D and T, Art, Geography…… and vice versa

Individual Pupil Record Date Of Birth: Sex:

Vocabulary Maths Non-Verbal Skills MidYIS Score

SULAIMAN BAHELMI Student Number: Form:

23/2/99 M

Band

Stanine

Percentile

Standard Score

A

7

81

113

B

6

66

106

D

3

18

86

B

6

68

107

A

7

77

111

Nationally Standardised Scores with 95% Confidence Band

Nationally Standardised Scores

150 140

130 120

110 100 90 80 70

60 50

Vocabulary

Maths

Non-Verbal

Skills

MidYIS Score

A relatively low skills score might indicate potential weaknesses such as: • Speed of processing/working

• Potential underperformance in test/examination conditions • Poor written work (SPG etc.) and vice versa

Skills: Proof Reading

Skills: Perceptual Speed and Accuracy

Date Of Birth: Sex:

Student Number: Form:

M

Vocabulary Maths Non-Verbal Skills MidYIS Score

7Y Sex:

Band

Stanine

Percentile

Standard Score

A

9

99

134

A

8

90

119

A

7

85

116

D

3

20

87

A

9

98

130

Vocabulary Maths Non-Verbal Skills MidYIS Score

150

150

140

140

130 120

110 100

90 80 70

Band

Stanine

Percentile

Standard Score

C

5

50

100

A

8

89

119

B

5

54

102

B

6

61

104

B

6

72

109

Nationally Standardised Scores with 95% Confidence Band

Nationally Standardised Scores

Nationally Standardised Scores

Nationally Standardised Scores with 95% Confidence Band

Proof Reading PSA 101 B 83

Form:

M

130

120 110 100

90 80

Proof Reading PSA 70

D

60

83

D

114

A

60

50

50

Vocabulary

Maths

Non-Verbal

Skills

MidYIS Score

Vocabulary

Maths

Non-Verbal

Skills

MidYIS Score

SEN use of MIDYIS test results Analysis of baseline test individual skill profiles to indicate potential areas of learning difficulties e.g. If the two lowest scores are the vocabulary and skills section and are, or close to being, statistically significant (see IPR) • Then the student might be dyslexic....... • Follow-up with appropriate diagnostic tests…..

Sex:

Form:

F

Vocabulary Maths Non-Verbal Skills MidYIS Score

7C

Band

Stanine

Percentile

Standard Score

C

4

27

91

B

6

68

107

B

6

75

110

D

2

10

81

C

5

45

98

Nationally Standardised Scores with 95% Confidence Band

Nationally Standardised Scores

150

140 130

120 110 100 90 80 70 60

50

Vocabulary

Maths

Non-Verbal

Skills

MidYIS Score

Using national baseline test scores to Identify Gifted Pupils  Scores over 130 – top 2% nationally

 Scores over 126 – top 5% nationally  Scores over 120 – top 10% nationally  Scores over 110 – top 25% nationally

Using MidYIS IPRs to Inform Teaching and Learning The IPR on its own simply tells us about the relative performances of the pupil on the separate sections of the test, where the pupil is strong, where performance has been significantly above or below national averages or where the pupil has significantly outperformed in one section or another.

It is when the IPR is placed in the hands of a teacher who knows that pupil that it becomes a powerful tool. It is what teachers know about individual pupils: what has happened in the past, how they respond to given situations and how they work in the teacher’s specific subject that inform the interpretation of the IPR If the IPR data from MidYIS, the teacher’s personal and subject specific knowledge and experiences regarding the pupil can be shared, then there becomes a much more powerful instrument for supporting pupils’ learning needs.

Some pupils will display an IPR pattern with significant differences between one or two components of the MidYIS Test.

These can be the most interesting and possibly the most challenging pupils for mainstream classroom teachers.

Scenarios and anecdotal findings

Handout Page 3

A SELECTION OF MIDYIS SCORES FOR ‘WATERLOO ROAD’ !! Why would this be a very challenging class to teach?

Vocabulary

Surname

Maths

Non Verbal

Skills

MidYIS Score

St. Score

Band

St. Score

Band

St. Score

Band

St. Score

Band

St. Score

Band

Sex

A

F

81

D

110

B

108

B

112

A

94

C

B

F

128

A

107

B

105

B

94

C

120

A

C

M

106

B

121

A

103

B

90

D

114

A

D

F

107

B

84

D

96

C

107

B

96

C

E

M

96

C

90

D

130

A

91

C

92

C

F

F

86

D

86

D

120

A

74

D

84

D

G

F

100

B

115

A

80

D

103

B

108

B

H

F

121

A

96

C

114

A

86

D

111

A

I

M

92

C

100

C

96

C

123

A

95

C

J

M

100

C

105

B

100

C

99

C

102

B

K

M

128

A

132

A

114

A

131

A

133

A

L

M

76

D

70

D

74

D

73

D

71

D

What do I need to know/do to teach this (difficult) class of twelve pupils These are real anonymous scores from a number of schools around the UK

3

Vocabulary scores significantly lower than other component scores Second language? Deprived areas? Difficulty accessing curriculum.? Targeted help does work. Seen in nearly all schools. Worth further diagnosis. Could potentially affect performance in all subjects Vocabulary scores significantly higher than other component scores Good communicators. Get on. Put Maths problems in words? Mathematics significantly higher than other scores From Far East? Done entrance tests? Primary experience? Mathematics significantly lower than other scores Primary experience. Use words and diagrams? Sometimes difficult to change attitude..Difficultiess with logical thinking and skills such as sequencing Low Mathematics scores with High Non-verbal Scores Use diagrams. Confidence building often needed Pupils with non-verbal scores different from others – High Non-verbal Scores Frustration? Behaviour problems? Don’t do as well as good communicators or numerate pupils? Good at 3D and 3D to 2D visualisation and spatial awareness. Good at extracting information from visual images Pupils with non verbal scores different from others – Low Non-verbal Scores Peak at GCSE? A level ? Pupils with low Skills scores Exams a difficulty after good coursework? Suggests slow speed of processing. High Skills Scores Do well in exams compared with classwork? The Average Pupil They do exist! High scores throughout Above a score of 130 puts the pupil in the top 2% nationally Low scores throughout Below a score of 70 puts the pupil in the bottom 2% nationally

3

Sharing data with colleagues: e.g. baseline test data Last Name First Name Tutor Group

Vocab

+ +

07S1 07Q1 07H1 07M2

Non Verbal

Skills

-

+

117 126 106

+ +

127 120

07Y1

111

+

07Y1

+

113

07S2 07S2 07T2

98

+

-

137 116

+ +

07Q1 07S1 07H2

Overall MidYIS 117

-

07Q2 07H1

Maths

-

101 113 126

+

07H1

88

07H2

104

07M1

123

-

07M2 07S1

-

111

+ +

07Q1 07Q2 7Y2

-

128

+

114 109 132

INSIGHT Pupil IPR

Speed Reading Text Comprehension Passage Comprehension Overall Reading Number & Algebra Handling Data Space, Shape & Measures Overall Mathematics Biology Chemistry Physics Overall Science Vocabulary Non Verbal Skills Overall Ability

Standard KS3 Score Equivalent

Band

Stanine

Percentile

B B

6 5

69 60

107 104

6c 5a

C

5

45

98

5b

B

5

59

103

5a

D

3

19

87

4a

B D

6 4

61 23

104 89

6a 5c

C

4

31

93

5b

A A A

7 9 8

82 96 89

114 127 118

6a 7a 7c

A

8

93

122

7b

B B A

6 6 8

65 70 92

106 108 121

C

4

36

94

Overall Ability

Skills

Maths

60

Non Verbal

Vocabulary

Overall Science

Physics

Chemistry

Biology

Overall Mathematics

Space, Shape & Measures

Handling Data

Number & Algebra

Overall Reading

Passage Comprehension

Text Comprehension

Speed Reading

Standardised Scores

Standardised Scores With 95% Confidence Band

160

140

120

100

80

40

Overall Science

Physics

Chemistry

Biology

Overall Mathematics

Space, Shape & Measures

Handling Data

Number & Algebra

Overall Reading

Passage Comprehension

Text Comprehension

a 8b c a 7b c a 6b c a 5b c a 4b c a 3b c 2a N Speed Reading

KS3 Level

IPRs in KS3 Levels KS3 Equivalent Levels with 95% Confidence Band

NATIONAL AVERAGE

The code:

j: reduces size

k: infills

m: inverts

Sharing the baseline Information within School

Using your MIS systems

Baseline test data can be useful • to indicate reasons for student learning difficulties and may go some way to explain lack of progress, flag up causes for underachievement and even behaviour problems. • for all teachers and support staff. It can help to support professional judgement and give a better understanding of the progress students make at school and their potential later performance. • to refer to for pupil reviews, writing reports, meeting parents, monitoring progress and interim assessments.

HANDOUT 1

pages 1 and 2

Percentage of pupils falling into each MidYIS Band over time 2013 Current Year7 2012 Current Year 8 2011 Current Year 9 2010 Current Year 10

2009 Current Year 11 2008 Current Year 12 2007 Current Year 13 2006 Last year’s Year 13

OVERALLMIDYIS Historical Band Profiles: Overall Score (Nationally Representative Standardisation) 100%

Year

Band A

Band B

Band C

Band D

2013

14

26

36

23

2012

22

21

31

26

2011

18

24

31

28

2010

24

23

28

24

2009

19

29

28

24

2008

17

34

24

25

2007

23

26

27

23

2006

18

24

26

32

90% 80%

Percentage

70% 60%

Band D

50%

Band C

40%

Band B

30%

Band A

20% 10% 0% 2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

MidYIS Baseline Testing Year

VOCABULARY Historical Band Profiles: Vocabulary Score (Nationally Representative Standardisation) 100%

Year

Band A

Band B

Band C

Band D

2013

19

34

28

18

2012

25

20

37

17

2011

25

24

26

25

2010

28

23

27

21

2009

23

22

29

27

2008

30

21

25

25

2007

30

26

23

20

2006

19

19

30

32

90% 80%

Percentage

70% 60%

Band D

50%

Band C

40%

Band B

30%

Band A

20% 10% 0% 2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

MidYIS Baseline Testing Year

2012

2013

1

MATHS Historical Band Profiles: Maths Score (Nationally Representative Standardisation) 100% 90%

Year

Band A

Band B

Band C

Band D

2013

12

18

39

31

2012

17

21

26

35

2011

12

21

34

33

2010

21

20

29

29

2009

23

22

26

29

2008

16

19

36

28

2007

19

23

29

28

2006

24

18

29

29

80%

Percentage

70% 60%

Band D

50%

Band C

40%

Band B

30%

Band A

20% 10% 0% 2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

MidYIS Baseline Testing Year

NON VERBAL Historical Band Profiles: Non Verbal Score (Nationally Representative Standardisation)

Year

Band A

Band B

Band C

Band D

2013

29

35

22

15

2012

35

33

21

11

2011

19

35

27

19

2010

24

32

33

11

2009

34

24

31

11

2008

21

31

30

18

2007

28

37

22

13

2006

25

34

25

15

100% 90% 80%

Percentage

70% 60%

Band D

50%

Band C

40%

Band B

30%

Band A

20% 10% 0% 2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

MidYIS Baseline Testing Year

2012

2013

Scores Standardised on a Nationally Representative Sample of Schools

1

SKILLS Year

Band A

Band B

Band C

Band D

2013

18

27

13

42

2012

21

26

24

29

2011

24

24

19

32

2010

30

26

23

21

2009

26

26

29

19

2008

21

21

27

30

2007

23

25

31

21

2006

12

25

34

29

Historical Band Profiles: Skills Score (Nationally Representative Standardisation) 100% 90% 80%

Percentage

70% 60%

Band D

50%

Band C

40%

Band B

30%

Band A

20% 10% 0% 2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

MidYIS Baseline Testing Year

PROOF READING

PERCEPTUAL SPEED AND ACCURACY

Band A

Band B

Band C

Band D

2013

14

15

19

52

2012

17

19

26

38

2011

14

20

22

44

2010

20

24

27

29

2009

21

29

18

31

2008

14

25

28

33

2007

14

35

27

24

2006

11

22

35

32

Year

2013

Year

Band A

Band B

Band C

Band D

2013

31

22

17

30

2012

30

23

23

24

2011

33

23

25

19

2010

36

22

23

19

2009

32

24

22

22

2008

23

23

24

30

2007

26

29

22

23

2006

16

24

32

29

2

1) Some teachers feel that the intake into the school has changed in the past few years. If so in which areas is the intake stronger or weaker? 2) Look at the breakdown of the individual test components for last year’s year 11. (2008 entry). What do you notice? a) Achievements in a core subject at GCSE in 2012 were below what had been achieved in previous years. Can you suggest which subject it was? b) Why would you expect better results at GCSE in this subject this year. c) This subject faces challenges in at least two further entry cohorts. Which are they? Suggest a strategy that they might follow. 3) What factors could explain the discrepancy between scores in the individual components and also in those scores from year to year? Is there anything that can be done about it? 4) Why do you think that the discrepancies between the score components can be vastly different between schools. Which scores are particularly high compared to the whole national cohort for this school. 2

HANDOUT 1

Page 3

(slides 37/38)

Handout 1

Page 4 and 5

Exercise

What are the Strengths and weaknesses of this A/AS level student? To use the IPR (Individual pupil record) familiarise yourself with the terms standard score, band, stanine, percentile and confidence band

a)Which AS/A level subjects might be avoided? ------------------------------------b) This student chose English, Film Studies, Music Technology and Psychology. Is this a good choice? Do you foresee any problems?--------------------

You are given data relating to an institution where students completed the ALIS computer adaptive test. They are chosen because they show significant differences between the various parts of the test. Remember scores are standardised around 100. Name

Overall St.Score

Band

Vocab St.Score

Maths Band

St.Score

Non Verbal Band

St.Score

Band

Average

A Level subjects chosen

GCSE

A

78

D

49

D

99

B

92

C

na

biologymathsbusiness art

B

94

C

115

A

85

D

104

B

na

biology businesspsychologyenglish

C

88

D

97

C

85

D

104

B

5.6

historypsychologyenglishmedia

D

101

B

107

B

97

C

80

D

5.9

businesshistoryenglishdrama

E

104

B

87

D

112

A

116

A

na

biologyphysicsmaths business

F

81

D

47

D

103

B

111

B

na

mathsfurthermathsbusiness

G

93

C

113

A

84

D

113

A

na

biologybusinessfrenchgeography

H

97

C

111

A

89

D

99

C

7

artenglishpsychologyreligiousst.

I

87

D

68

D

100

B

109

B

5.4

mathsgeographyfrenchmusic

J

105

B

67

D

124

A

85

D

6.1

mathsfurthermathspsychologyeconomi cs

K

96

C

71

D

110

A

97

C

na

biologymathsartenglish

L

92

C

60

D

111

A

97

C

na

mathshistoryreligiousst.english

a) Are there any apparent mismatches between the subjects being followed and this data? b) What support can be given to those students who have particular weaknesses in Vocabulary or Mathematics ? c) How might predictions made for these students be tempered in the light of the inconsistencies in the test components and missing average GCSE points scores?

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