Transbaltic conference 2010 The new geography of freight flows in the Baltic Sea Region
Container shipping on the Northern Sea Route Jerome VERNY Associate Professor (transport/logistics) Rouen Business School, France
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Principal international commercial maritime routes
Asia-Europe Market • Containerized freight transported on shipping lanes = 21.6 million TEU in 2008 (30% of containerized freight transported on shipping lanes all over the globe)
Annual growth rate of 5-6 % between 2008 and 2015 Annual growth rate of 24 % between 2015 and 2030 (source : HWWI)
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Limitations of the transport supply • While the capacity of ports and ships can be improved,… • …the Royal Road will soon reach its limits.
Changes in the spatial distribution of freight flows must be envisaged
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Some international commercial routes
The Northern Sea Route and the Royal Route
Pertinence and feasibility of container transport along the NSR - Global warning and progressive lifting of technical constraints on navigation
- New geography of places and flows - Feasibility from a cost standpoint.
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Discussion: NSR and opportunities for the Baltic Sea Region
Questions: -Future orientation of the transport and function of the Baltic Sea Region in serving internal and intercontinental flows?
-Impact on the transport patterns in the Baltic Sea Region? -Connectivity and accessibility of the territories around the Baltic Sea?
Thank you for your attention For more informations : Verny, J. & Grigentin, C., 2009. Container shipping on the Northern Sea Route, International Journal of Production Economics, 122 (1), 107-117
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Jerome VERNY International young researcher award, 2009 (OECD-ITF, International Transport Forum)
. Associate Professor (transport/logistics), RBS, France . Founder and CEO, OPAL Conseil Regional development, Operations and Supply Chain Management consulting firm
Research interests: . Economic and transport geography . Geographical economics Current projects: . European Transport Policy, sustainable development and regional development (the decoupling between freight transport and economic growth) . Transport and globalization (Northern Sea Route, Sea-Air transport) 10
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