Reliability Analytics Special Interest Group {download now}

Reliability Analytics Special Interest Group Paul Casto & Mike Raible, Secretary and Vice Chair Presentation to Houston SMRP MARS Conference Galveston, TX August 22, 2012 1

SMRP "Reliability Analytics" Special Interest Group Mission To be a premiere resource for advancing Reliability Analytics Vision To develop and promote leaders in Reliability Analytics Scope Special Interest Groups, or SIG's, are self-governing groups within SMRP, which exist for connecting people with a shared interest, to share general information within a portion of the field of "Reliability and Physical Asset Management". 2

"Reliability Analytics" topics Design for Reliability • Reliability Design Requirements • System Reliability Analysis • RAM modeling • Monte Carlo simulation Collecting Data for Reliability Analytics • Failure history codes • Data extraction and preparation Using Process Condition to Detect Failure in advance

3

"Reliability Analytics" topics Data Mining • Bad Actor Analysis

Item & Component Failure Rate Determination • MTTF / MTBF • Simple Exponential Reliability Evaluating whether maintenance plans/strategies are working • Reliability Growth Analysis (Crow AMSAA) • Weibull Analysis • Cost of Unreliability

4

"Reliability Analytics" topics Advanced Modeling & Prognostics • Bayesian • Markov • Neural networks • Similarity Models • Proportional Hazard Models Risk Analysis • Signature / Authorization levels • Life Cycle Cost Analysis • Critical Spares Analysis • Warranty Statistics • Fault Tree Analysis 5

Value Proposition The SMRP Reliability Analytics Special Interest Group (SIG) could therefore help members learn to, within their respective organizations: 1. champion "Reliability Analytics" 2. communicate (skills & methods) the value of "Reliability Analytics" 3. differentiate "Reliability Analytics" from other reliability engineering tools (e.g. RCFA, RCM, Condition-Based Maintenance) 4. show practical applicability ("statistics that make sense") of "Reliability Analytics" 5. evaluate whether their maintenance plans/strategies are working 6

Value Proposition The SMRP Reliability Analytics Special Interest Group (SIG) could therefore help members learn to, within their respective organizations: 6. 7.

championing a “failure free” environment use “Reliability Analytics” to support value based recommendations that drive the right changes in strategy and tactics a)

b) c)

Data-driven, not emotional decision making (“Do we need a spare for that on hand?”) Improvements in hardware and system reliability are based on sound reliability analyses value is measureable in various business contexts

7

Value Proposition The information above could be communicated to SIG membership via: • • •

free monthly or quarterly webinars semi-annual in-person meetings, including one at the annual SMRP Conference technical topic–centered social media

Through the items listed above, we will be: • • • •

learning how to make our employers more profitable helping to advance the practice of reliability engineering elevating understanding of certain concepts & tools within the larger SMRP community helping to grow the information about Reliability Analytics in the SMRP Body of Knowledge

8

Reliability Analytics SIG Formation Committee Timothy R. Holmes, Chair Mike Raible, Co-Chair Paul Casto, Historian/Secretary Paul Barringer Stanford J. LeBlanc

DuPont Eastman Chemical Meridium Barringer & Associates NASA

9

For More Information, Contact: Timothy R. Holmes (615)828-8682 Mike Raible (423)229-5031 Paul Casto (540)344-9205 Paul Barringer (281)852-6810 Stanford J. LeBlanc (281)244-7662 Cindy Boyd, SMRP SIG Chair (713)481-3320 Howard Penrose, SMRP Director (630)487-6223 Ed Foster, SMRP Membership Chair (281)983-6050 10