towards an Open Humanitarian Risk Index

January 14, 2018 | Author: Anonymous | Category: Social Science, Political Science, International Relations
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towards an Open Humanitarian Risk Index A comprehensive, widely-accepted and open evidence base with which to reach common understanding and coordinated action

Tony Craig, co-chair IASC Sub Working Group on Preparedness Tom De Groeve, Joint Research Centre of the European Commission

OHRI

towards an Open Humanitarian Risk Index

Open Humanitarian Risk Index A shared, transparent humanitarian risk index with global coverage, regional / sub-national detail and

seasonal variation

22 May 2013

2

OHRI

towards an Open Humanitarian Risk Index

Why do we need an Open Humanitarian Risk Index? Goals • OHRI will help  humanitarians, donors, member states

Objectives • Support DRR, funding and readiness decisions with evidence

and other actors  focus DRR and emergency readiness

• Complement existing

 on a common risk picture

 risk-focused early warning at the IASC

SWG for Preparedness

• OHRI will be open

 needs assessments in ECHO and other

 with all data and methods available

organisations

free online

• Enable regional / sub-national perspective 22 May 2013

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OHRI

towards an Open Humanitarian Risk Index

5 principles • Global coverage

• Continuity

 datasets with broad global coverage  international standards for the

 five years of historical data

• Transparency

calculation of missing values

 methodology and data sources will be

 future development will aim for

published and available for review

subnational analysis

• Flexibility

• Openness

 a standalone model to establish a

 evidence collectively gathered

common, basic understanding of risk

 owned by the public, agencies,

 provide a framework for incorporating

governments, NGOs and academia,

additional components to allow for

 Participation of agencies that generate

more nuanced analysis of specific issues

much of the source data

or geographic regions.

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OHRI

towards an Open Humanitarian Risk Index

Current partners • OCHA

• ECHO

• UNICEF

• DFID (UK)

• WFP

• JRC

• UNHCR • ISDR • WHO • Interested

• FAO

 World Economic Forum, World Bank

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OHRI

towards an Open Humanitarian Risk Index

Risk Model • Based on previous work

• Model

 Global Focus Model (OCHA)

 Multiplicative model

• 2006-2013

 Hazard: natural and man-made

 Global Needs Assessment (ECHO)

 Vulnerability: population

• 2004-2013

 Capacity: emergency management

• Based on available data

x

 Mostly provided by partners (e.g. refugees, health, children)

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OHRI

towards an Open Humanitarian Risk Index

Statistical soundness • Joint Research Center of the European Commission

• Issues

 Database implementation

 Multiplicative model  Geometric average versus arithmetic

 Statistical audit

average

• Also for HDI etc.

 Weights and implicit weights  Basket independent normalization

 Missing data handling

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OHRI

towards an Open Humanitarian Risk Index

Seasonal risk index • Hazard  Seasons: cyclone, monsoon  El Nino, ENSO

• Vulnerability  Crop seasons, migration patterns

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OHRI

towards an Open Humanitarian Risk Index

Regional / sub-national risk index • Selected countries or regions  In collaboration with countries

• Same overall methodology as global  Substitution of subindicators allowed

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OHRI

towards an Open Humanitarian Risk Index

Additional component: Crisis Index • Goal: continuous update of the OHRI requires up-to-date data

• How is this used?  Not used in standard OHRI  Used in specific versions of

• Fastest changing data are:

methodology (e.g. ECHO’s Global Needs

 Natural Hazards (recent disasters)

Assessment, which emphasizes new and

 Human Hazards (new conflicts)

ongoing hazards)

 Refugee / IDP population Crisis Index

Conflict Refugees / IDPs Recent disasters

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OHRI

towards an Open Humanitarian Risk Index

Timeline… time to join? • October 2012: conceived by core group, joining initiatives at UN and in European Commission • January 2013: proof of concept, analysis of correlation of existing models • March 2013: first model

Please talk to us to participate • June-August 2013: building partnerships and collecting support • October 2013: technical meeting, early results • January 2014: First publication of OHRI

• May 2013: public presentation of initiative at Global Platform 22 May 2013

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OHRI

towards an Open Humanitarian Risk Index

Web site and Contacts

ohri.jrc.ec.europa.eu IASC SWG on Preparedness: Co-chairs

[email protected] [email protected]

Joint Research Centre (technical contact point)

[email protected]

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OHRI

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