Urban Climate
Short Description
Download Urban Climate...
Description
Climate October 22, 2012
Lecture learning objectives: You should be able to: • Describe the difference between climate and weather • Describe major climate factors –
-radiation, albedo, energy budgets, wind and atmospheric circulation, temperature, and moisture.
• Explain the differences between urban and forest microclimates and what drives those differences. • Identify indicators of climate change
Micro, meso, macro and megaclimate Scale
Length
Area
Locale
Micro
1 m - 1 km
1m² - 1 km²
local
Meso
1 - 100 km
1 - 100 km²
regional
Macro
100 - 10 000 km
100 - 10 000 km² continental
Mega
>10 000 km
>10 000 km²
global
What is the difference between weather and climate? • Climate is what you expect • Weather is what you get
Climate factors • Radiation and albedo • Energy budgets • Wind – global circulation, high and low pressure systems • Temperature – effects of latitude and elevation, greenhouse effect • Moisture – types of precipitation, seasonal distribution, latitudinal distribution, orographic precipitation
Ecosystems use solar energy to drive processes • < 2 % of solar energy is used for photosynthesis • Most goes into evaporating water. • Heat balance, hydrologic cycle and climate are strongly linked. • Forests have 70% of leaf area on the Earth.
Radiation and albedo • Forms of radiation Ultraviolet, visible, infrared (heat) short wave long wave
http://serc.carleton.edu/images/eslabs /weather/balance_diagram_simple.jpg
www.windows.ucar.edu/earth/Atmosphere/images/...
Albedo Proportion of shortwave radiation that is reflected (0-1 scale) Albedos of different surfaces Vegetation type Albedo Temperate forest (summer) 0.12 (winter) 0.25 Tropical forest 0.07 Savanna 0.16 Field, grassland 0.16 (summer) Desert 0.35 Ocean ice 0.5-0.7 Asphalt 0.04-.12 Color of the surface is important – white surfaces have the highest albedos – dark surfaces (black) have the lowest albedos
Species have different leaf strategies with respect to radiation • Species adjust leaf areas to capture light or handle heat loads. • western hemlock (shade tolerant) has greater leaf area (m2 leaf/m2 of surface) than Douglas-fir (shade intolerant). • Species like Noble fir have sun and shade needles. • Eucalyptus leaves are vertical to reduce heat load in a hot environment.
http://www.nps.gov/neri/naturescience/images/web_HWA_01.jpg http://t1.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcRcUJDJPOFyMWtGLbA-DNCe0QgQX7IC4Hw-mnLvdigIDHtZDFCUAxYAyNafZQ http://www.cirrusimage.com/Trees/Eucalyptus_leaves.jpg
Global wind and circulation patterns
Broadly predicts global to continental climate
Nasa.gov
Local winds
Santa Ana Winds
USA Today
Mountain valley winds
http://t3.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn:ANd9GcTRZqSuMV9Rkd9MIIk-FqKXpexuhgPVn8Fiy0O1arw0od_gmz2rP778sCCH
Urban canyons (valleys) Urban structure also affects winds, albedo and radiation
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:42nd_st_canyon.jpg
TEMPERATURE INVERSIONS
Ag.arizona.edu
http://www.stuffintheair.com/images/Inversion_Smoke.jpg
apollo.lsc.vsc.edu
Temperature Global temperatures are highest in tropics and lowest at the poles Lowest at highest elevation
Temperature at noon on field trip Oct 13, 2012 46 F Stampede Pass 3965 feet
58 F Seattle 100 feet
64 F Ellensburg 1764 feet
Moisture – humidity and precipitation Precipitation tends to be highest in tropics and lowest at the poles Modified by mountain ranges that produce orographic rainfall on the windward side of mountains and rain shadows on the lee side of mountains
http://www.whymap.org/whymap/EN/Downloads/Additional_global_maps/precipitation_g.jpg?__blob=normal&v=3
3. Urban and Forest Microclimates • Forest and urban trees modify the climate because of albedo and energy budgets. • Trees cool the environment (low albedo, high evapotranspiration, low sensible heat) • Concrete and dark asphalt surfaces heat the environment (high albedo, no transpiration, low evaporation, high sensible heat. The urban heat island effect
Clearcuts are hotter and colder than forests. South slopes, particularly SW slopes are hotter and drier than north slopes. Steeper slopes are hotter.
www.arch.hku.hk
Mitigation of Urban Heat Islands • Increase vegetative cover • Use porous concrete surfaces • Change the albedo of surfaces
PNW weather and climate are dominated by two elements: Pacific Ocean to the west Mountain ranges that block and deflect
24
Average Rain Per Year • Seattle: 37” • New York City: 47” • Miami: 56”
Number of Cloudy Days Per Year Seattle: 228 (61%) Houston: 166 Miami: 117 (31%) 25
East vs West Cascades • Annual temperature range – East side: varies by 60ºF between Jan-July – West side: varies by 30ºF
• Precipitation range – I-84 along Columbia River gorge: Rain forest near Cascade Locks (80”/year) to arid environment near The Dalles (13”/year) in just 45 miles
26
27
Most temperate forests are dominated by broad-leaved deciduous trees • If enough water to support trees vs grasses • Dormant during winter • New leaves in spring • Photosynthesis in wet summer
28
PNW Ecosystems Why do conifers dominate here? • Short, cool summers • Mild winters • Precipitation mostly in winter (75% between OctMar) • Dry summers
29
Photosynthesis and Water Conservation are opposites. The Photosynthesis-Transpiration Compromise: must open stomata to bring in CO2 but in so doing, the plant loses water vapor
30
The PNW west-side Challenge • • • •
Optimum photosynthesis: warm and bright PNW is warm and bright mid-July to mid-Sept * These are the driest months * Regulate stomatal opening to reduce water loss during drought conditions • Lose best opportunity for photosynthesis
31
Solution? Retain leaves and do photosynthesis whenever possible
32
West East
• Precipitation drops off rapidly east of the passes • Droughttolerant pines and junipers • Grassland and desert 33
34
Global Climate Change • Thin layer of atmosphere traps some of the Sun’s energy and heat • Problem = Thickening layer (“Greenhouse gases”) • Average global temperatures are rising
Instrument Data (thermometer records)
Global mean surface temperature anomaly 1850 to 2006 relative to 1961–1990
Hotter than normal globally • Hottest years on record in USA: 1934, 1998, and 2006 • Red=warmer than average • 1934: hot in some areas; 1998 & 2006: globally hotter
Departure from normal temperatures
Image credit: U.S. Global Change Research Program (www.globalchange.gov).
Past warming trends • From 1000-2000: 3 little blips (3 between 1000-1400 A.D.) before current trend • Shorter duration and smaller magnitude
Indications of Global Climate Change 1. Glaciers are melting 2. Heat waves 3. Ocean temperature is rising 4. More powerful storms 5. Increased flooding 6. Drought (relocalization of precipitation) 7. Melting ice caps 8. Melting tundra 9. Tropical plants moving north 10. Insect infestations 11. Sea level is rising And more
1. Glaciers are melting 1928
2004
Upsala Glacier in South American Andes in Argentina - Retreating 180 feet per year
• The total surface area of glaciers worldwide has decreased by 50% since the end of the 19th century
What controls glacier changes? Accumulation (snowfall, rainfall) Temperature (summer/winter)
Dr. Michelle Koutnik (UW PhD ‘07)
2. Heat waves • Heat wave in Europe 2003- killed 35,000 • Record-breaking heat in 2005 in many American cities – Hottest and longest duration above 100F
• Of the 21 hottest years on record (global), 20 within last 25 years
3. Ocean temperature is rising • Cannot get the long history of temperature data • Warming trend • Since 1960’s, more warm temperature anomalies
4. More powerful storms • Increased frequency – 2004: Japan’s typhoons (10) – U.S. severe hurricanes (Katrina) – 2005: First time World Meteorological Society ran out of names (27)
4. More powerful storms (cont.) • Unusual places – 2004: first hurricane in Brazil
• Previously thought impossible in South Atlantic
Power of hurricanes correlates with sea surface temperature
5. Increased flooding 350
Number of Major Flood Events
300 250 200
Europe Americas Asia
150 100 50 0
19501959
19601969
19701979
Source: Millennium Ecosystem Assessment
19801989
19902000
6. Relocalization of precipitation • Global precipitation increased by 20% in last century • But not evenly distributed • Severe droughts
Changes in precipitation • Amount, intensity, frequency, and type • More in E North America, S South America, N Europe • Less in Mediterranean, Africa, and S Asia • More rain and less snow in mountains
7. Melting ice caps • Antarctica- frozen desert • Losing land ice at rate of 31 billion tons of water per year • Ice shelves are breaking up • Emperor penguin population declined 70% in last 50 years – Depends on stable sea ice
8. Melting Tundra • Western Siberia is thawing for the first time in 11,000 years • Size of France + Germany • Started to thaw only recently • Western Siberia temp increasing faster than anywhere else
9. Subtropical plants moving North • Overwintering plants that normally don’t survive • Subtropical camellias in Pennsylvania • Kudzu (fast-growing vine) moving north • State Flowers of 28 states soon can’t grow there
9. Plant zones are changing (cont.) • Gardening maps are changing – Many areas are a full zone warmer – Some are two zones warmer than in 1990
10. Insects • Beetles wiping out forests in Canada – Pine beetles kept in check by cold – 14 million acres of bark beetle-infested spruce trees
11. Sea level is rising • • • •
2000 years of little change Rose 8” in last 100 years Water expands as it warms Melting glaciers and ice sheets
http://climate.noaa.gov/warmingworld/docs/WarmingWorldInteractive-04062012.ppt
Figure from NASA.gov
Climate Change in the PNW? • Local simulations: – largest warming on lower and middle mountain slopes – More cloudiness in spring in west side – More rain and less snow
Impacts of these changes? 64
The 2007 IPCC report Conclusions • “Warming of the climate system is unequivocal, as is now evident from observations of increases in global average air and ocean temperatures, widespread melting of snow and ice, and rising global average sea level.” • Eleven of the last 12 years (1995-2006) rank among the 12 warmest years in the instrumental record since 1850.
West Olym pic Coastal Division, Washington Tem perature(C) Climate Division (01), 12 month period ending in December 12 month period
11 Tem perature (C)
10 year running mean 10
average +sigma
9
-sigma 8 1890
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
Ending Year of Period
Cascade Mountains West Division, Washington Tem perature (C) Climate Division (05), 12 month period ending in December 12 month period
Temperature (C)
10 9
10 year running mean
8
average
7 6
-sigma
5
+sigma
4 1890
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
Ending Year of Period
1970
1980
1990
2000
Temperature trends – WA, ID WA
ID
Modeled predicted species changes • Ponderosa pine will expand, Douglas-fir and lodgepole pine will increase range • Tree line in mountains will be much higher – shrinking alpine zone. Engelmann spruce, Mt. hemlock and Pacific silver ranges will be reduced. • Some desert species will expand
Lecture learning objectives: You should be able to: • Describe the difference between climate and weather • Describe major climate factors –
-radiation, albedo, energy budgets, wind and atmospheric circulation, temperature, and moisture.
• Explain the differences between urban and forest microclimates and what drives those differences. • Identify indicators of climate change
View more...
Comments